The Phoenix Market

THE PHOENIX MARKET TODAY
 

Phoenix underwater mortgages show housing’s threat to recovery. One year ago, there were signs that housing was healing; new home sales were up and prices rising. Now, new home sales are below levels hit at the depth of the recession two years ago, and 23 percent of all borrowers -- more than 11 million homeowners -- owe lenders more than their homes are worth. The renewed weakness is keeping a lid on consumer confidence, consumption and growth.

“It keeps the recovery from being all that strong,” says Mark Vitner, senior economist for Wells Fargo Securities in Charlotte, North Carolina. “We don’t see how the economy can get above 3 percent growth, except for a short period of time, with housing being so deeply underwater,” he said.

In the 18 months after the recession ended in June of 2009, the economy grew at an average annual rate of 3 percent a quarter. A survey of economists by Bloomberg News produced a median forecast that growth slowed to a 2 percent rate in the first quarter of this year, not enough to ease the nation’s unemployment crisis.

Further home-price declines this year -- expected by analysts such as Robert Shiller of Yale University -- would push several million more Americans into negative equity. Home prices dropped 5.7 percent in February from year-earlier levels, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency, the fourth consecutive month of backsliding.

In Phoenix, the problem is especially acute. Nearly 202,000 individuals are 50 percent or more in negative equity, according to a Corelogic Inc. analysis prepared at the request of Bloomberg News. More than one in every five Phoenix-area mortgage holders would need their homes to double in value just to break even.

 


 

 

"NEW MARKET REPORTS"

The National Market

The Phoenix Market

 

PRIMEAU FINANCES:

Golf Courses
Shopping Centers
Self-Storage Units
Apartment Buildings
Construction
Office Buildings
Gas Stations
Refinance
Restaurants
Funeral Homes
Hotels/Motels
Mobile Home Parks
Retail Stores
Car Washes
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Marinas
Auto Dealerships
Retail
Shopping Malls
Raw Land
Bed & Breakfast
Assisted Living
Condotels
Parking Structures
Condominiums
Light Industrial & Warehouses

Other Income Producing Properties